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IVM

Traffic Monitoring near Muenster

Last week, IVM's traffic monitoring on the B54 came to an end. Traffic volumes and speeds were recorded at five locations over a period of two weeks to estimate travel times. These measurements enable a detailed analysis of passing behavior on streets with 2+1 systems. 

We would like to thank Tilo Voigt and Kevin Hubert (Landesverkehrszentrale NRW) for coordinating the measurements and Thomas Straub and his team (Straßenmeisterei Steinfurt) for carrying them out.

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IVM

Gernot Sieg in Het Financieele Dagblad on the market situation for railways

Gernot Sieg comments on the situation of the railways in Het Financieele Dagblad. The article can be found   here, unfortunately behind a paywall. 

 Here is the section with Professor Sieg's comments: 

Gernot Sieg, spoorspecialist bij de Universiteit van Münster, zegt dat de Italiaanse belangstelling voor het langeafstandsnet ‘wellicht op het juiste moment komt’. Het railnet is weliswaar in slechte staat, schetst de hoogleraar. Maar als nieuwkomers diensten aanbieden op nu al gesaneerde trajecten, moeten ze met hun nieuwe materieel, voldoende personeel en goed management de vertragingsfactoren waar Deutsche Bahn nu mee te maken heeft, kunnen vermijden, aldus Sieg.

Hij wijst erop dat Deutsche Bahn bij het langeafstandsverkeer in 2024 een bezettingsgraad van 47% had. Dat moet met een slimmer ticket- en reserveringssysteem hoger zijn te krijgen, denkt hij. ‘Er kan plaats zijn voor Italo en Trenitalia als ze hoge kwaliteit en hoge snelheid bieden en op tijd rijden tussen de groeicentra in Duitsland, zonder door de politiek opgedrongen haltes’, meent hij.

Sieg ziet speelruimte bij DB Infrago om de prijzen te verlagen, mits het netbedrijf zich onafhankelijker opstelt van DB Fernverkehr – het DB-bedrijf voor langeafstandsritten. ‘In de toekomst kunnen de financiële condities voor het personenverkeer op die trajecten beter zijn dan nu.’

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IVM

Campus Earth Day

At Campus Earth Day 2025 in the Geomuseum, many interesting conversations and discussions about sustainable transport policy took place at the IVM stand with David Voigt, Maria Kennel, Gernot Sieg, and many others living in Münster and beyond.

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Habilitation Dr. Jan Wessel   

Following a successful colloquium, the Faculty Council of the Department of Economics at the University of Münster has granted Dr. Jan Wessel the authorization to teach (venia docendi) for economics. The IVM congratulates Dr. Jan Wessel and is happy that he will continue to be involved in the IVM as a private lecturer.

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Federal Minister of Transport, Patrick Schnieder, MdB, has reappointed Professor Gernot Sieg as a member of the Scientific Advisory Board 

Federal Minister of Transport, Patrick Schnieder, MdB, has reappointed Professor Gernot Sieg as a member of the Scientific Advisory Board at the Federal Ministry of Transport for another six-year term.
The Advisory Board’s primary role is to advise the Federal Minister on all matters of transport policy. It provides expert opinions at the Minister’s request and issues statements on its own initiative.

Professor Gernot Sieg, who also serves as Chair of the Scientific Advisory Board, expressed his gratitude for the trust placed in him and looks forward to another six years of intensive and productive collaboration within the Board.

 

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IVM

E-Bikes in trend: Impact on mode choice and CO2 reduction

In 2023, 1.85 million conventional bicycles and 2.1 million electric bicycles (“e-bike”) were sold in Germany making it the first year in which more e-bikes were sold than conventional bicycles. This trend indicates a growing preference for e-bikes among consumers, so that it is important to study whether increasing sales would also translate into increasing usage of e-bikes. In their new article "Electrifying choices: How electric bicycles impact on mode choice and CO2 emissions", Thomas Hagedorn, Marlena Meier and Jan Wessel analyze (i) the influence of e-bike ownership on transport mode choice and (ii) how a change in e-bike ownership affects CO2 emissions in Germany. Using longitudinal data from household surveys from 2016 to 2022, we first conduct a trip-level analysis with a mixed multinomial logit model (MMNL model) to estimate mode choice probabilities. The results show that the change in e-bike ownership significantly affects travel behavior, by increasing the likelihood of choosing an e-bike as means of transportation by 14.6 percentage points (p.p.), while correspondingly decreasing the likelihood of choosing other modes, especially conventional bicycles by 5.6 p.p, as well as car and public transportation by about 4 p.p each. Second, by using observed changes in individual distances traveled and transport-mode-specific emissions values, we calculate net emissions savings per person after acquiring an e-bike. These savings amount to 526.9 kg CO2 per person and year, which is roughly 6.6% of the average annual total CO2 emissions per capita in Germany. The article is published in Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment.

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Vehicle Value Externality

Gernot Sieg from the University of Münster and Berthold U. Wigger from the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) introduce the vehicle value externality as a previously unacknowledged cost of car traffic. Unlike established externalities such as emissions or congestion, the vehicle value externality arises from the impact of vehicle value on accident damages. By developing a model linking insurance premiums to this externality and applying it to German car traffic data, the annual aggregate cost are estimated at 10 billion euros in 2021. Since this externality has not been internalized by policy makers so far, too expensive cars are bought in Germany and therefore insurance premiums for cars are too high. The article is published in the journal Economics Letters.

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