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Federal Minister of Transport, Patrick Schnieder, MdB, has reappointed Professor Gernot Sieg as a member of the Scientific Advisory Board 

Federal Minister of Transport, Patrick Schnieder, MdB, has reappointed Professor Gernot Sieg as a member of the Scientific Advisory Board at the Federal Ministry of Transport for another six-year term.
The Advisory Board’s primary role is to advise the Federal Minister on all matters of transport policy. It provides expert opinions at the Minister’s request and issues statements on its own initiative.

Professor Gernot Sieg, who also serves as Chair of the Scientific Advisory Board, expressed his gratitude for the trust placed in him and looks forward to another six years of intensive and productive collaboration within the Board.

 

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E-Bikes in trend: Impact on mode choice and CO2 reduction

In 2023, 1.85 million conventional bicycles and 2.1 million electric bicycles (“e-bike”) were sold in Germany making it the first year in which more e-bikes were sold than conventional bicycles. This trend indicates a growing preference for e-bikes among consumers, so that it is important to study whether increasing sales would also translate into increasing usage of e-bikes. In their new article "Electrifying choices: How electric bicycles impact on mode choice and CO2 emissions", Thomas Hagedorn, Marlena Meier and Jan Wessel analyze (i) the influence of e-bike ownership on transport mode choice and (ii) how a change in e-bike ownership affects CO2 emissions in Germany. Using longitudinal data from household surveys from 2016 to 2022, we first conduct a trip-level analysis with a mixed multinomial logit model (MMNL model) to estimate mode choice probabilities. The results show that the change in e-bike ownership significantly affects travel behavior, by increasing the likelihood of choosing an e-bike as means of transportation by 14.6 percentage points (p.p.), while correspondingly decreasing the likelihood of choosing other modes, especially conventional bicycles by 5.6 p.p, as well as car and public transportation by about 4 p.p each. Second, by using observed changes in individual distances traveled and transport-mode-specific emissions values, we calculate net emissions savings per person after acquiring an e-bike. These savings amount to 526.9 kg CO2 per person and year, which is roughly 6.6% of the average annual total CO2 emissions per capita in Germany. The article is published in Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment.

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Vehicle Value Externality

Gernot Sieg from the University of Münster and Berthold U. Wigger from the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) introduce the vehicle value externality as a previously unacknowledged cost of car traffic. Unlike established externalities such as emissions or congestion, the vehicle value externality arises from the impact of vehicle value on accident damages. By developing a model linking insurance premiums to this externality and applying it to German car traffic data, the annual aggregate cost are estimated at 10 billion euros in 2021. Since this externality has not been internalized by policy makers so far, too expensive cars are bought in Germany and therefore insurance premiums for cars are too high. The article is published in the journal Economics Letters.

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Job Vacancy

The Institute of Transport Economics is seeking to fill a position for a student assistant (studentische Hilfskraft) at the earliest possible date. Further information can be found here.

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Comment to speed limit CBA

A speed limit for highways is a highly emotional issue in Germany. Economists should contribute methodologically sound facts. In his new commentary, Gernot Sieg considers which aspects of a cost-benefit analysis for a speed limit by Goessling et al (2023) could be improved. The commentary was recently published in the journal Ecological Economics Link to comment.

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ITEA Conference 2024 in Leeds

The annual conference of the International Transport Economics Association (ITEA) took place from July 24-28, 2024 at the University of Leeds, England. The participants of the conference are scientists and specialists in the field of transport economics. Four scientists from the Institute of Transport Economics also took part. Jan Wessel, Sebastian Specht and Marlena Meier presented their research work and received valuable suggestions for future research.

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Prof. Gernot Sieg at the 75th anniversary ceremony of the Board of Academic Advisers at the BMDV

On June 11, the  Board of Academic Advisers at the BMDV (Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport) celebrated its 75th anniversary with many invited guests in the Erich-Klausener-Saal in Berlin. Federal Minister Dr. Volker Wissing: "Foresight needs science: Since its foundation 75 years ago, the members of the  Board of Academic Advisers to the Federal Minister for Digital and Transport have been working with great passion, creative drive and conviction when it comes to further developing our mobility." The Chairman of the Advisory Board, Prof. Gernot Sieg, commented: "The  Board of Academic Advisers to the Federal Minister for Digital and Transport is pleased and grateful that its advice is always listened to, that its work is appreciated and that this is being celebrated with a ceremony." After the welcome address by the Federal Minister and the speeches by Parliamentary State Secretary Oliver Luksic and the Chairman of the Advisory Board, Prof. Gernot Sieg, four members of the Advisory Board presented good solutions for transport. In a panel discussion on the topic "Follow the Science: Scientific Policy Advice in Germany" with the Chair of the German Advisory Council on the Environment Prof. Dr. Claudia Hornberg, the President of the Federal Highway Research Institute Prof. Dr.-Ing. habil. Markus Oeser, the Head of the Road Transport Department at the Federal Ministry of Digital and Transport, Ministerial Director Iris Reimold, the Chairman of the Scientific Advisory Board at the Federal Ministry of Finance, Prof. Jörg Rocholl, PhD, and member of the Scientific Advisory Board and Head of the Institute of Transport, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Prof. Dr.-Ing. Peter Vortisch, the guests were able to gain interesting insights into the various scientific policy advisory institutions and to participate with questions. State Secretary Hartmut Höppner concluded the event with his speech.

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