Periodically Evans bubbles and stock-price volatility

Rotermann Benedikt, Wilfling Bernd


Abstract
This paper analyzes stock-price volatility in the presence of periodically collapsing Evans bubbles. We derive a volatility formula that establishes a link between the bubble component and stock-price volatility. We demonstrate how to fit the volatility equation to stock-market data.

Keywords
Present-value model; Evans bubble; conditional volatility; particle-filter estimation



Publication type
Research article (journal)

Peer reviewed
Yes

Publication status
Published

Year
2014

Journal
Economics Letters

Volume
123

Issue
3

Start page
383

End page
386

Language
English

ISSN
0165-1765