PEDD Conference Program 2018

Note: The program might be subject to change.

The detailed conference program can also be downloaded here.

Thursday, March 15, 2018

Conference venue: CIW

Program Time Venue
Registration 12:00 – 18:00h  102
Opening 14:00 – 14:15h SCH2

Plenum I: Keynote Lecture

Timur Kuran: Intolerant Communities and Democratic Erosion

14:15 – 15:45h SCH2
Coffee Break 15:45 – 16:00h 101
Parallel Sessions A1-A3 16:00 – 17:30h 107, 124, 125

A1 Constitutions and Social Choice

TETSURO OKAZAKI (Takushoku University)

Constitutional Reform under Budget Constraint and the Effect of Constitution on Political Bargaining

Discussant: Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska

 

KATARZYNA METELSKA-SZANIAWSKA (University of Warsaw):

Post-Socialist "Illiberal Democracies": Do De Jure Constitutional Rights Matter?

Discussant: Thomas Daske

 

THOMAS DASKE (Technical University of Munich)

Externality Assessments, Welfare Judgments, and Mechanism Design

Discussant: Tetsuro Okazaki

  107

A2 Fiscal Capacity, Incumbency Bias and Electoral Outcomes

ALESSANDRO BELMONTE (Institute for Advanced Studies Lucca), Desiree Teobaldelli, Davide Ticchi

Tax Morale, Fiscal Capacity, and Wars

Discussant: Mascha Rauschenbach

 

Katrin Paula, MASCHA RAUSCHENBACH (University of Mannheim)

Blessing or Curse: The Consequences of IMF Scrutiny for Pre-electoral Violence

Discussant: Stephan Kyburz

 

STEPHAN KYBURZ (London School of Economics and Political Science)

Does Democracy Moderate Resource-induced Conflicts?

Discussant: Alessandro Belmonte

  124

A3 Types of Autocracy

KUNAL SEN (University of Manchester)

Who is the Stationary Bandit? Types of Autocracies and Economic Growth

Discussant: Matilde Thorsen

 

MATILDE THORSEN (Aarhus University)

Policymaking in Autocracies: When Dictators Are Ideologically Motivated

Discussant: Phoebe Wasfy

 

PHOEBE WASFY (University of Hamburg)

Autocratic Survival in Oil Abundant Countries: How to buy a Dictator’s way out?

Discussant: Kunal Sen

 

  125

Welcome Reception

Café Gasolin

18:00 – 21:00h

Aegidiistraße 45

 

Friday, March 16, 2018

Conference venue: CIW

Program Time Venue
Registration 08:30 – 18:00h 102
Parallel Sessions B1 – B3 09:00 – 10:30h 107, 124, 125

B1 Rent-Seeking and Electoral Outcomes

Koen Schoors, LAURENT WEILL (University of Strasbourg)

Politics and Banking in Russia: The Rise of Putin

Discussant: Kim Leonie Kellermann

 

KIM LEONIE KELLERMANN (University of Münster)

Political Participation and Party Capture in a Dualized Economy

  107

B2 Regime Change I

MAJA ADENA (Berlin Social Science Center), Ruben Enikolopov, Maria Petrova, Hans-Joachim Voth

Bombs, Broadcasts, and Betrayal at the Home Front: High Treason in Germany towards the End of World War II

Discussant: Muhammad-Basheer Ismail

 

MUHAMMAD-BASHEER ISMAIL (University of Hull)

Regime Change through Terrorism in the Name of Jihad: An Overview of Boko Haram Crisis from Islamic and International Humanitarian Law Perspectives

Discussant: Christian Bjørnskov

 

CHRISTIAN BJØRNSKOV (Aarhus University)

Coups, Regime Transition, and the Dynamics of Press Freedom

Discussant: Maja Adena

  124

B3 Democratic Institutions

Klaus Gründler, TOMMY KRIEGER (University of Konstanz)

Machine Learning Indices, Political Institutions, and Economic Development

Discussant: Gerhard Wegner

 

GERHARD WEGNER (Erfurt University)

Reassessing the dependence of capitalism on democracy – The case of Imperial Germany and the Weimar Republic

  125
Coffee break

10:30–11:00h

101
Parallel Sessions C1 – C3 11:00 – 12:30h 107, 124, 125

C1 Political Preferences

Christian Ochsner, FELIX RÖSEL (Ifo Institute Dresden Branch)

Activated History - The Case of the Turkish Sieges of Vienna

Discussant: Denis Ivanov

 

DENIS IVANOV (National Research University – Higher School of Economics)

The Legacy of Stalin in Georgia: Ideology and Hometown Effect

Discussant: Lena Gerling

 

Kim Leonie Kellermann, LENA GERLING (University of Münster)

Contagion Effects of Non-Mainstream Party Support: Evidence from Germany

Discussant: Felix Rösel

  107

C2 (Ethnic) Conflicts and Peace Building

NILS-CHRISTIAN BORMANN (University of Exeter; University of Witten-Herdecke), Martin Steinwand

Power-Sharing Coalitions and Ethnic Civil War

Discussant: Syed Mansoob Murshed

 

SYED MANSOOB MURSHED (Erasmus University; Coventry University), Muhammad Badiuzzamn

On the Impact of Post-Conflict Power Sharing Agreements on Growth in Developing Countries after 1989

Discussant: Tim Krieger

 

TIM KRIEGER (University of Freiburg), Laura Renner

Polygyny and Conflict - Exploring Mechanisms

Discussant: Nils-Christian Bormann

  124

C3 Accountability in Autocracies I

CHRISTIAN GLÄßEL (University of Mannheim), Adam Scharpf, Belén González

Rebel Threat or Political Connections? The Logic of Military Home Deployment

Discussant: Sören Schwuchow

 

SÖREN SCHWUCHOW (Brandenburg University of Technology)

Extractive Institutions, Choking Taxes, and War: On the (Beneficial) Impact of Inequality in Autocracies

Discussant: Thomas Apolte

 

THOMAS APOLTE (University of Münster)

A Theory of Autocratic Transition: Prerequisites to Self-Enforcing Democracy

Discussant: Christian Gläßel

  125
Lunch 12:30 – 14:30h Mensa am Aasee

Plenum I: Keynote Lecture

Uwe Sunde: Democracy, Demography and Comparative Development

14:30 – 16:00h SCH2
Coffee Break  16:00 – 16:30h 101
Parallel Sessions D1 – D3 16:30 – 18:00h 107, 124, 125

D1 Drivers of Institutional Change

Charles Angelucci, SIMONE MERAGLIA (University of Exeter), Nico Voigtländer

The medieval roots of inclusive institutions: from the Norman Conquest of England to the Great Reform Act

Discussant: Sylvia Sztern

 

SYLVIA SZTERN (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem)

Railroads to Democracy. Individualism, Rationalism and Literacy. The Challenge to Autocracy in Late Imperial Russia

Discussant: Sara Torregrosa

 

Christian Ducoing (University of Lund), SARA TORREGROSA (Lund University)

Growth, Inequality and Extraction in Ibero-American Democratizations

Discussant: Simone Meraglia

  107

D2 Institutions, Investment, and Conflict

ARTHUR SILVE (Laval University)

Democratic spillovers

Discussant: Sophie Panel

 

Abel Francois, SOPHIE PANEL (Sciences Po Bordeaux), Laurent Weill

Are some dictators more attractive to foreign investors?

  124

D3 Accountability in Autocracies II

ANTONIS ADAM (University of Ioannina), Sofia Tsarsitalidou

Do Sanctions Lead to a Decline in Civil Liberties?

Discussant: Mario Roberto Gilli

 

MARIO ROBERTO GILLI (University of Milan-Bicocca)

Selectorate's Information and Dictator's Accountability

  125

Conference Dinner

Restaurant “Schlossgarten Café"

18:30 – 21:00h

Schlossgarten 4

 

Saturday, March 17, 2018

Conference venue: CIW

PROGRAM TIME VENUE
Registration 08:30 – 12:00h 102
Parallel Session E1 – E2 09:00 – 10:30h 107, 124, 125

E1 Resource Rents, Prosperity and Institutions

GERRIT MEYERHEIM (Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich)

Income and Democracy Revisited

Discussant: Jonathan Lehne

 

JONATHAN LEHNE (Paris School of Economics)

The Opium Curse? Long-run consequences of Narcotics Cultivation under the British Raj

Discussant: Antonio Savoia

 

Tania Masi, ANTONIO SAVOIA (University of Manchester), Kunal Sen

Is there a fiscal resource curse? Resource rents, fiscal capacity and political institutions

Discussant: Gerrit Meyerheim

  107

E2 Regime Change II

Paolo li Donni, MARIA MARINO (University of Florence)

Time-Varying Unobserved Heterogeneity in Democratic Processes

Discussant: Martin Paldam

 

MARTIN PALDAM (Aarhus University), Erich Gundlach

A Study of Triggering Events: When do Political Regimes Change?

Discussant: Mario Ferrero

 

MARIO FERRERO (University of Eastern Piedmont)

A New Theory of Revolution

Discussant: Maria Marino

  124
Coffee break 10:30 – 11:00h 101
Parallel Session F1 – F3 11:00 – 12:30h 107, 124, 125

F1 Culture, Fiscal Policy and the Welfare State

KLAUS GRÜNDLER (University of Würzburg), Sebastian Köllner

Culture, Diversity, and the Welfare State

Discussant: Lucia Della Pellegrina

 

Lucia Dalla Pellegrina, GIORGIO DI MAIO (University of Milano-Bicocca), Donato Masciandaro, Margherita Saraceno

Vulnerability to Money Laundering and Crime Deterrence: Evidence from Italy

Discussant: Giacomo de Luca

 

Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe De Feo, GIACOMO DE LUCA (University of York)

Weak States: Causes and Consequences of the Sicilian Mafia

 Discussant: Klaus Gründler

  107

F2 Accountability in Autocracies III

ADAM SCHARPF (University of Mannheim; German Institute of Global and Area Studies), Christian Glaessel

How Dictators Staff Their Secret Police: The Case of Argentina's Battalion 601

Discussant: Dmitriy Vorobyev

 

Oleg Sidorkin, DMITRIY VOROBYEV (University of Wisconsin-Madison; CERGE-EI (Prague))

Extra Votes to Signal Loyalty: Regional Political Cycles and National Elections in Russia

Discussant: Alexander Libman

 

Fabian Burkhardt, ALEXANDER LIBMAN (Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich)

Tail Wagging the Dog: Control vs. Rent-Seeking in Appointing Bureaucrats in Non-Democratic Regimes

Discussant: Adam Scharpf

  124

F3 Terrorism

NICOLA BRUGALI (University of Bologna), Paolo Buonanno, Mario Gilli

Italian Terrorism, Data and Network

Discussant: Lamis Saleh

 

LAMIS SALEH (University of Hamburg)

Treat them well or they might turn against you: Do refugees bring along terrorism?

Discussant: Daniel Meierrieks

 

Thomas Gries, DANIEL MEIERRIEKS (University of Freiburg)

"Pay for it heavily": Does U.S. Support for Israel lead to Anti-American Terrorism?

Discussant: Nicola Brugali

  125
Farewell Lunch 12:30h

Mensa am Aasee