Seminar Advanced Monetary Theory and Policy

Master in Economics

Winter Term 2020/2021

 

Economic Implications of Extremely Long-Term Time Series

Selection of topics

  1. Real Interest Rates since the 14th Century (Schmelzing)
  2. From Poverty to Prosperity: The Development of Real GDP since 1800 (Maddison)
  3. Development of Commodity Prices since 1850 (Jacks)
  4. Stock Prices since 1880 (Shiller)

Organization

  • Each seminar participant has to choose one topic from the selection above. Credit points are granted for preparing a term paper and presenting the results in form of a power point presentation. Students are expected to rely on academic articles and to present the findings contained therein.
  • Topics will be assigned to students on a first-come, first-served basis. Students should send an e-mail to martin.bohl@wiwi.uni-muenster.de with a shortlist of three preferred topics.
  • Each student has to prepare and submit a term paper comprising at least 15 pages. The term paper is supposed to contain a cover page, a table of contents, a reference list (bibliography) and – where applicable – an appendix. There are no style requirements, however, margins, font size, spacing and so forth should be chosen appropriately. Deadline for paper submission is October 12, 2020. Please, send a PDF-version to martin.bohl@wiwi.uni-muenster.de.
  • Each student needs to prepare his/her own seminar paper and a power point presentation. The presentation is supposed to last about 20 minutes and should be send not later than October 18, 2020 to martin.bohl@wiwi.uni-muenster.de.
  • The seminar will take place in the form of a Zoom conference on October 19, 2020 (9:00 - 12:00 a.m.).
  • The final grade is based on the term paper (80%) and on the presentation/participation during the seminar (20%). Please be aware that enrollment for the class should be carried out at the examination office (Prüfungsamt) for the early deadline of the winter term 2020/2021 (vorgezogener Termin).
  • 6 Credit points can be obtained for this class (Master, PO 2015). Course language is English only.
  • Topics will be supervised by Prof. Dr. Bohl. Students should send the outline and structure of the term paper before-hand via e-mail to martin.bohl@wiwi.uni-muenster.de so that the contents can be discussed.

 

Data Sources

Jacks: http://www.sfu.ca/~djacks/data/boombust/index.html

Maddison: https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/

Schmelzing: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/2020/eight-centuries-of-gl...

Shiller: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm