PEDD Papers 2020

Note: Access to the papers is restricted to conference participants.
Parallel Sessions A1 – A3
A1 Special session: The political economy of Europe

GIORGIO DI MAIO (University of Insubria), Lucia Dalla Pellegrina, Mario Gilli (Bicocca University Milan)
Real determinants of populist electoral success in Italy

GLORIA GENNARO (Bocconi University)
Banlieue at the ballot box: A natural experiment on immigration and political outcomes

MARIO ROBERTO GILLI (Bicocca University Milan)
European Union and transnational terrorism. A normative analysis of strategic spillovers

A2 Local institutions and conflict

CHARLOTTE FIEDLER (German Development Institute)
Peacebuilding beyond the national level: How local elections can reduce the risk
of conflict recurrence

JOHANNES GALLÉ (Ruhr University Bochum), Laura Renner (University of Freiburg)
Local institutions and civil conflict in India

FELIX OLSOWSKI (University of Mannheim)
Encountering the wrong judge? Judicial (in-)cependence and extrajudicial killings in the Philippines

A3 Comparative public policies

ANDREAS KAMMERLANDER (University of Freiburg)
Economic growth and pollution in different political regimes

CHRISTOPH DÖRFFEL (Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena), Dejan Dragutinovic (RGS/RWI Essen), Andreas Freytag and Julian Schmied
Are democracies better at poverty alleviation than autocracies? Evidence from global poverty data

JOHANNES BLUM (ifo Institute), Florian Dorn, Axel Heuer
Political institutions and health expenditure: Do democracies care for their people?

Parallel Sessions B1 – B4
B1 Conflict and gender

ARZU KIBRIS (University of Warwick)
Exposure to political violence and individual behavior (EXPOVIBE)

Laura Renner (University of Freiburg), LENA SCHMID (University of Freiburg)
The decision to flee: Analyzing gender-specific determinants of international refugee migration

ANNA MINASYAN (University of Groningen), Astghik Mavisakalyan
The role of conflict in sex discrimination: the case of missing girls

B2 Terrorism, preferences and economic policies

CHRISTOPH WEISSER (University of Göttingen), Axel Dreher, Krisztina Kis-Katos, Michael Jetter
Terrorism in the media

DANIEL MEIERRIEKS (WZB Berlin Social Science Center), Friedrich Schneider
Terrorism and international economic policy

ANNA NOWAK (University of Münster)
The rally-around-the-flag effect and supra-nationalism in the light of Islamist terrorism

B3 Measuring democracy and growth

ANTONIO SMITH BRAVO (Central European University)
Measuring political constraints on the executive: A formative approach

ROSALBA ROMBALDONI (University of Urbino), Edgar J. Sánchez Carrera (University of Urbino)
Clustering democracy and inequality

ERICH GUNDLACH (Universität Hamburg), Martin Paldam (Åarhus University)
A hump-shaped transitional growth path as a general pattern of long-run development

B4 Leader survival in autocracies

THOMAS APOLTE (University of Münster)
Why do mass protests provoke coups?

YUAN LI (University of Duisburg-Essen)
Successor´s dilemma: When does autocratic succession work?

ANTONIS ADAM (University of Ioannina)
Pre-electoral repression: What do autocrats do when they have more instruments at their disposal?

Parallel sessions C1 - C4

C1 Political conflict, institutions and political outcomes

KATARZYNA METELSKA-SZANIAWSKA (University of Warsaw), Jacek Lewkowicz
Political conflict and constitutional compliance

JERG GUTMANN (University of Hamburg)
Endogenous social contracts

Kurt Annen, SIMON HUG (University of Geneva)
Political accountability with endogenous party formation

C2 Aid, conflict and migration

MASAAKI HIGASHIJIMA (Tohoku University/University of Michigan), Yu Jin Woo
Political regimes and refugee entries: Motivations behind refugees and host governments

SOFIA TSARSITALIDOU (University of Ioannina), Antonis Adam (University of Ioannina)
The effect of foreign aid on domestic conflict: A regression discontinuity approach

LAURA RENNER (University of Freiburg), Eugen Dimant, Daniel Meierrieks (WZB Berlin Social Science Center), Tim Krieger
A good deal? U.S. military aid and refugee flows to the United States

C3 Democratic institutions and public finance

VASSILIS SARANTIDES (University of Sheffield), Pantelis Kammas
Democratisation and tax structure in the presence of home production: Evidence from the Kingdom of Greece

Joshy Easaw, SAMULI LEPPÄLÄ (Cardiff University)
Democracy, state capacity and public finance

Stephan Geschwind, FELIX ROESEL (ifo Institute)
Taxation under direct democracy

C4 Nationalism and populism

LAURA DINIZ PENTEADO DE BARROS (University of Göttingen), Manuel Santos Silva
#EleNão: Economic crisis, the political gender gap, and the election of Bolsonaro

SOEREN SCHWUCHOW (Brandenburg University of Technology)
Spillovers of nationalist politics: A model of the (intergovernmental) effects of identity and culture on electoral competition

LENA GERLING (University of Münster), Kim Leonie Kellermann (University of Münster)
Contagious populists: The impact of election information shocks on populist party preferences in Germany


Parallel sessions D1 - D4

D1 Resources, conflict and institutions

S. MANSOOB MURSHED (ISS-Erasmus University & Coventry University), Brahim Bergougui (CREAD)
Does oil wealth curse the political institutions outcomes? New evidence from System-GMM PVAR approach

SAJJAD FARAJI DIZAIJ (Tarbiat Modares University)
Oil boycotts, military expenditures and democracy: Evidence from Middle Eastern countries

Christopher Butler, SCOTT GATES (University of Oslo and PRIO), Siri Aas Rustad
Forces of darkness: Islamic State, armed conflict, and resource allocation

D2 Coups and prosperity

Johannes Blum (ifo Institute), KLAUS GRÜNDLER (ifo Institute)
Political stability and economic prosperity: Are coups bad for growth?

STEPHAN GOHMANN (University of Louisville), Myra J. McCrickard, Daniel Bennett
The relationship between coups and employment

CHRISTIAN BJØRNSKOV (Åarhus University), Lena Gerling (University of Münster), Stefan Voigt
Good coups, bad coups

D3 Political accountability in (weak) democracies

CHRISTOPH KOENIG (University of Bristol)
Patronage and election fraud: Insights from Russia’s governors 2000–2012

STEPHAN KYBURZ (London School of Economics and Political Science)
The local political resource curse

Public reaction on trade sanctions in a democratic context: Evidence from Moldovan wine embargo

D4 Democracy, development and institutional quality

Alex Dickson, Ian A. MacKenzie, PETROS G. SEKERIS (Montpellier Business School)
A theoretical foundation of the modernization hypothesis

Aging, economic development, and preferences for democracy

MARTIN PALDAM (Åarhus University)
The transition of corruption institutions and dynamics


Parallel sessions E1 – E3

E1 Accountability and public policies: The case of Indonesia

Subnational favoritism in development grant allocations - Empirical evidence from decentralized Indonesia

GIACOMO DE LUCA (University of York), Jahen Rezki
Islamic politics and local development: Evidence from Indonesia

ATTILA GASPAR (University of Padua)
The public morals/public services tradeoff: Theory and evidence from Indonesia

E2 Inequality, protests and democracy

Paolo Li Donni, MARIA MARINO (University of Florence), Christian Welzel
The culture of resistance: Emancipative values as the driver of the intensity of political protest

MARIO FERRERO (University of Eastern Piedmont)
The political economy of rights

YACOUBA GNEGNE (National Defense College, Abu Dhabi)
Democracy and human wellbeing in Africa

E3 External threats to autocratic stability

SAEED KHODAVERDIAN (Helmut-Schmidt-University)
Window of opportunity: The effect of health on democracy

ELISABETH MEYER (FAU Erlangen-Nürnberg)
Exit, voice, and the middle class: Emigration policies in non-democratic countries

ANDREAS STEGMANN (briq Institute)
When East meets West: Interpersonal contact and the demand for democracy


Parallel sessions F1 - F3     

F1 Accountability in autocracies

ANNA PAULS (University of Oslo)
Strawship borrows arrows: How an authoritarian government may refrain from repression anyway

JIA LI (The Pennsylvania State University)
The information to concede: Election, ruling party, and autocratic survival

JACOB NYRUP (Nuffield College, University of Oxford)
The myth of the benevolent autocrat? Internal constraints, external constraints, and economic development in autocracies

F2 Institutions and development

ANDREW JONELIS (Syracuse University)
Borders change, institutions remain

VANESSA BOESE (University of Gothenburg), Markus Eberhardt
Facets of democratic change and their causal effect on economic growth

Landed elites and the provision of human-capital promoting public goods: Evidence from Prussia