PEDD Conference Program 2019

Note: The program might be subject to change.

The detailed conference program can also be downloaded here.

Thursday, February 28, 2019

Conference venue: CIW

Program Time Venue
Registration 12:00 – 18:00h  102
Opening Speech 14:00 – 14:30h SCH2

Plenum I: Keynote Lecture

Martin Paldam: What Do We Know about the Democratic Transition? The Links between Income and the Political System

14:30 – 16:00h SCH2
Coffee Break 16:00 – 16:30h 101
Parallel Sessions A1-A3 16:30 – 18:00h 107, 124, 125

A1 Inequality and Political Transitions

Quentin David, LAURA DUTHILLEUL (LEM CNRS UMR 9221, Lille), Abel Francois

Does economic inequality poison democracy?

Discussant: Rainer Kotschy


RAINER KOTSCHY (Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich), Uwe Sunde

Income shocks, inequality, and democracy

Discussant: Adilzhan Ismailov


Antonio Ciccone, ADILZHAN ISMAILOV (University Pompeu Fabra)

Income inequality and political transitions

Discussant: Laura Duthilleul


Session Chair: Adilzhan Ismailov


A2 Varieties of Autocracy

RAUL V. FABELLA (University of the Philippines and NAST)

Dutertismo: The autocrat as solution to the poverty of public goods

Discussant: Sylvia Sztern


SYLVIA SZTERN (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem)

Techno-institutional propriety and measurable power - The time and scope of revolution in late imperial Russia

Discussant: Mario Ferrero


MARIO FERRERO (University of Eastern Piedmont)

Accidental socialism: A natural experiment in Haiti 1796-1820

Discussant: Raul V. Fabella


Session Chair: Mario Ferrero


A3  Terrorism and Domestic Politics

Moamen Gouda, SHIMAA HANAFY (Hankuk University of Foreign Studies), Marcus Marktanner

Democracy, Personal Freedom, and Islamic State Fighters

Discussant: Daniel Meierrieks


Marc Helbling, DANIEL MEIERRIEKS (WZB Berlin Social Science Center)

Transnational terrorism and restrictive immigration policies

Discussant: Anna Nowak


ANNA NOWAK (University of Münster)

You failed! Government satisfaction and party preferences facing Islamist terrorism

Discussant: Shimaa Hanafy


Session Chair: Anna Nowak


Welcome Reception

Café Gasolin

18:30 – 21:00h

Aegidiistraße 45


Friday, March 1, 2019

Conference venue: CIW

Program Time Venue
Registration 08:30 – 18:00h 102

Plenum I: Keynote Lecture

Timothy Besley: The Rise of Identity Politics

09:00 – 10:30h SCH2
Coffee Break 10:30 – 11:00h 101
Parallel Sessions B1 – B4 11:00 – 12:30h 107, 124, 125

B1 Political Stability and Threats to Democracy

RONALD WINTROBE (Western University)

21 reasons and a simple model of why liberal democracy is in decline

Discussant: Felix Roesel


Luisa Doerr, Niklas Potrafke, FELIX ROESEL (ifo Institute for Economic Research, Dresden)

Right-wing populists in power

Discussant: Mario R. Gilli


MARIO R. GILLI (Bicocca University Milan)

Populism, the backlash against the elites and the malfunctioning of representative democracy

Discussant: Ronald Wintrobe


Session Chair: Mario R. Gilli


B2 Democracy, Aid and Development

STEFAN KRUSE (Center for the Study of Democracy, Lüneburg)

Democratic governance, civic engagement and the effect of  foreign aid on population health

Discussant: Katrin Kamin


Vanessa A. Boese, KATRIN KAMIN (University of Kiel)

Quadrangulating peace: Democracy, development, trade and conflict

Discussant: Andreas Fuchs


ANDREAS FUCHS (Helmut Schmidt University of Hamburg and Kiel Institute for the World Economy), Angelika Müller

Democracy and aid donorship

Discussant: Stefan Kruse


Session Chair: Andreas Fuchs


B3 Democratic Institutions

Shiyu Bo, LIUCHUN DENG (IWH Halle Institute for Economic Research and University of Jena), Yufeng Sun, Boqun Wang

On intergovernmental communication: A tale of two decentralization reforms

Discussant: Andrea Schneider


ANDREA SCHNEIDER (University of Münster)

Policy diffusion and the competition for mobile resources

Discussant: Vincenzo Galasso


VINCENZO GALASSO (Bocconi University)

Market reactions to non-violent claim of independence: Evidence from Catalonia

Discussant: Liuchun Deng


Session Chair: Vincenzo Galasso


B4 Political Accountability and Redistribution

EDWIN ATILANO ROBLES (Center for Research and Teaching in Economics, A.C. (CIDE))

The politics of authoritarian income redistribution

Discussant: Antonio Smith Bravo


Michael Dorsch, ANTONIO SMITH BRAVO (Central European University)

Constraining the executive in petrostates

Discussant: Moamen Gouda


MOAMEN GOUDA (Hankuk University of Foreign Studies), Jerg Gutmann

Are Islamic constitutions bad for minorities?

Discussant: Edwin Atilano Robles


Session Chair: Moamen Gouda


Lunch 12:30 – 14:00h Mensa am Aasee
Parallel Sessions C1 – C3 14:00 – 15:30h 107, 124, 125

C1 Political Instability and Leadership Survival

RICHARD JONG-A-PIN (University of Groningen), Shu Yu

Rich or alive? Political (in)stability, political leader selection and economic growth

Discussant: Cosima Meyer


COSIMA MEYER (University of Mannheim)

Surviving the aftermath: Understanding how military and political experience affect post-war political leadership survival

Discussant: Lena Gerling


LENA GERLING (University of Münster)

Public protests, coups and elections: Evidence from Africa

Discussant: Richard Jong-A-Pin


Session Chair: Lena Gerling


C2 State Capacity, Development and the Threat of Conflict

JOHANNES BLUM (ifo Institute for Economic Research)

The impact of democracy’s Third Wave on national defense burdens: Evidence from a spatial panel analysis 1972-2013

Discussant: Sezer Yasar


SEZER YASAR (TED University)

Fiscal capacity with accumulating defense activities

Discussant: Antonio Savoia


Roberto Ricciuti, ANTONIO SAVOIA (University of Manchester), Kunal Sen

What determines administrative capacity in developing countries?

Discussant: Johannes Blum


Session Chair: Antonio Savoia


C3 Electoral Institutions, Redistribution and Democracy

Sugat Chaturvedi, SABYASACHI DAS (Ashoka University)

Group size and political representation under alternate electoral systems

Discussant: Izaskun Zuazu


IZASKUN ZUAZU (University of the Basque Country)

Electoral systems and income inequality: A tale of political equality

Discussant: Jan U. Auerbach


JAN U. AUERBACH (University of Exeter)

Office-holding premia and representative democracy

Discussant: Sabyasachi Das


Session Chair: Jan U. Auerbach

Coffee Break  15:30 – 16:00h 101
Parallel Sessions D1 – D3 16:00 – 17:30h 107, 124, 125

D1 Accountability and Political Outcomes

PATRICK BALLES (University of Basel), Ulrich Matter, Alois Stutzer

Special interest groups versus voters and the political economics of attention

Discussant: Alfa Farah


ALFA FARAH (University of Münster)

Winning a local office in a clientelistic society:  Evidence from a decentralized Indonesia

Discussant: Patrick Balles


Session Chair: Alfa Farah


D2 Regime Transitions and Institutional Quality

TOMMY KRIEGER (University of Konstanz)

Democracy and institutional quality: Theory and evidence

Discussant: Martin Roessler


MARTIN ROESSLER (TU Dresden), Jonathan D. Old, Patrick Zwerschke

(When) does democratization reduce state repression?

Discussant: Christian Bjørnskov


Daniel L. Bennett, CHRISTIAN BJØRNSKOV (Aarhus University), Stephan F. Gohmann

Coups, regime transitions, and institutional change

Discussant: Tommy Krieger


Session Chair: Stephan F. Gohmann


D3 Ideology, Electoral Outcomes and Policies

Dodge Cahan, NIKLAS POTRAFKE (University of Munich and ifo Institute for Economic Research)

The Democratic-Republican presidential growth gap and the partisan balance of the state governments

Discussant: Nicolas Schreiner


NICOLAS SCHREINER (University of Basel), Alois Stutzer

Direct democracy and political extremism

Discussant: Niklas Potrafke


Session Chair: Niklas Potrafke


Conference Dinner

Lolas Schicksaal

18:30 – 21:00h

Albersloher Weg 12


Saturday, March 2, 2019

Conference venue: CIW

Registration 08:30 – 12:00h 102
Parallel Session E1 – E2 09:00 – 10:30h 107, 124, 125

E1 Political Conflict and Democratic Institutions

JEAN LACROIX (Université libre de Bruxelles)

Ballots instead of shots?  The impact of the Voting Rights Act on political violence

Discussant: Vanessa A. Boese


VANESSA A. BOESE (Humboldt University of Berlin), Scott Gates, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Håvard Strand

Patterns of Democracy over Space and Time

Discussant: Soeren C. Schwuchow


SOEREN C. SCHWUCHOW (Brandenburg University of Technology), George Tridimas

Taking sides: The political economy of Solon’s Law for civil wars

Discussant: Jean Lacroix


Session Chair: Soeren C. Schwuchow


E2 Religion, Culture and Institutional Quality

ANTONIS ADAM (University of Ioannina), Sofia Tsarsitalidou

Serving two masters: State religion and fiscal capacity

Discussant: Christian J. Sander


Aloys Prinz, CHRISTIAN J. SANDER (University of Münster)

Leadership and public goods provision: Does religion matter?

Discussant: Antonis Adam


Session Chair: Christian J. Sander

Coffee break 10:30 – 11:00h 101
Parallel Session F1 – F3 11:00 – 12:30h 107, 124, 125

F1 Violent Conflicts – Determinants and Strategies

Uih Ran Lee, PIOTR LIS (Coventry University), Michael Spagat

Civilian targeting in African conflicts – a poor actor´s game that spreads through space

Discussant: S. Mansoob Murshed


Muhammad Badiuzzaman, Scott Gates, Rashel Hasan, S. MANSOOB MURSHED (Coventry University and Erasmus University), Havard Strand

Food insecurity and conflict

Discussant: Uih Ran Lee


UIH RAN LEE (University of Sussex)

Public opinion and war casualties: Interplay and misinterpretation

Discussant: Piotr Lis


Session Chair: Uih Ran Lee


F2 Culture, Institutions and Politico-Economic Outcomes

NOUHOUM TOURÉ (University Paris II Panthéon-Assas)

Culture, institutions and the industrialization process

Discussant: Felix Hoch


FELIX HOCH (University of Münster), Todor S. Lohwasser

Do political characteristics influence the relationship between family control and performance? A meta-analytical approach

Discussant: Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska



De jure and de facto democracy in post-socialist countries

Discussant: Nouhoum Touré


Session Chair: Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska


F3 Ethnic Inequality, Political Institutions and Economic Outcomes

ANDREAS BACKHAUS (Centre for European Policy Studies)

Ethnic favoritism revisited: Competitive voting in Ghana

Discussant: Lennart Kaplan


LENNART KAPLAN (Georg-August University of Göttingen)

Unequal gains from trade – The role of political biases

Discussant: Klaus Gründler


KLAUS GRÜNDLER (ifo Institute for Economic Research), Andreas Link

Ethnic inequality and the wealth of nations

Discussant: Andreas Backhaus


Session Chair: Andreas Link

Farewell Lunch 12:30h

Mensa am Aasee