Papers

Note: Access to the papers is restricted to conference participants.

Parallel Sessions A1 – A3 

A1 Evolution of Institutional Change

MALIK CURUK (Bogazici University), Sjak Smulders
Malthus Meets Luther: The Economics Behind the German Reformation

CHRISTIAN BERKER (Darmstadt University of Technology)
The Geopolitical Context for Institutional Change: The Case of Prussia in the 17th and 18th Century

MARTIN PALDAM (Aarhus University), Erich Gundlach
Jumps into Democracy - The Short and Long Run in the Democratic Transition

 

A2 Determinants of Autocratic Stability

EVGENY IVANOV (Higher School of Economics, Moscow)
Political Regimes Sustainability Factors in the Post-Soviet

ALESSANDRO BELMONTE (IMT School for Advanced Studies Luca), Michael Rochlitz
Collective Memories, Propaganda and Authoritarian Political Support

Cristina Bodea, Ana Carolina Carriga, MASAAKI HIGASHIJIMA (Tohoku University)
Monetary Constraints, Spending, and the Autocratic Survival in Party-Based Regimes

 

A3 Accountability in Autocracies

ANNA PAULS (University of Oslo)
When the Party Doesn't Want to Be the Emperor Because the Emperor Is Naked: Why Competing Players Sometimes Agree on an Interpretation of the Situation Which They Both Know Is Wrong. (update)

MARIO GILLI (University of Milano-Bicocca)
Accountability in Autocracies with Multidimensional Policies. The Role of Public Perception

 

Parallel Sessions B1 – B3

B1 Decision-making Processes and Public Policy Outcomes 

GEORG TRIDIMAS (Ulster University), John Garry
Policy Making by a Randomly Drawn Assembly of Citizens? A General Model and Illustrative Application to Northern Ireland

Sekou Keita, PIERRE MANDON (CERDI, University of Auvergne)
Give a Fish or Teach Fishing? Political Affliliation of U.S. Governors and the Poverty Status of Immigrants

SHAHEEN NASEER (Erasmus University Rotterdam), Klaus Heine
Bureaucratic Identity and the Shape of Public Policy: A Game Theoretic Analysis

 

B2 Elections in Autocracies

ADRIAN LUCARDI (Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México)
Strength in Expectation – Elections, Economic Conditions and Authoritarian Breakdown

KATSUNORI SEKI (University of Mannheim)
Consequences of Elections in Dictatorships: The Role of Electoral Competition and Competitiveness of Elections

XIAOBING WANG (University of Manchester)
The Political Foundations of China's Growth and Welfare

 

B3 Determinants of Growth and Development

NAIB ALAKBAROV  (Usak University), Yilmaz Bayar (Usak University)
Democratization and Economic Growth in Emerging Market Economies

ELISE BREZIS (Bar‐Ilan University)
Typology of Dictatorship, Revolutions and Economic Reforms

SANDRA ROZO (USC Marshall School of Business)
Explaining the Heterogeneous Effects of Natural Resources on Local Economic Development

 

Parallel Sessions C1 – C3 

C1 Islam, Conflict and Democratization

Tim Krieger, DANIEL MEIERRIEKS (University of Freiburg)
Modernization and Islamist Conflict

Moamen Gouda, RAHEL M. SCHOMAKER (CUAS Villach / GRIPA Speyer)
Islam and Democracy

Jean-Paul Azam, MARIO FERRERO (University of Eastern Piedmont)
Incentives Beyond the Grave

 

C2 Governance

KORTURK ERTÜRK (University of Utah)
The Predatory State and Elite Cohesion

CARL CHRISTIAN von WEIZSÄCKER (Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods)
The Normative Coevolution of the Market Economy and Democracy

HEIKE WALTERSCHEID (Corporate State University Baden-Württemberg)
The Constitutional and Institutional Design of Good Governance

 

C3 Voting Behavior and Accountability of Politicians 

MARCEL GARZ (University of Hamburg/Hamburg Media School), Jil Sörensen
Politicians Under Investigation: The News Media's Effect in the Likelihood of Resignation

SVETLANA PETRI (University of Kiel), Christian H. C. A. Henning
Satisfaction and Media as Determinants of Voting Behaviour in Russian Elections 2003-2011

Christos Mavridis, MARCO SERENA (Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance)
Complete Information Pivotal-voter Model with Asymmetric Group Size

 

Parallel Sessions D1 – D3

D1 Regimes and Citizens

Ivar Kolstad, ARNE WIIG (Chr. Michelsen Institute)
How do Voters Respond to Information on Self-serving Elite Behaviour? Evidence from a Randomized Survey Experiment in Tanzania

VANESA PESQUÉ-CELA (Stockholm School of Economics)
Decentralization and Accountability in Authoritarian Regimes - Evidence from Rural China

Halvor Mehlum, Kalle Moene, GRY ØSTENSTAD (University College of Southeast Norway)
Add and Rule

 

D2 The Role of the Civil Society

KANYBEK NUR-TEGIN (Florida Atlantic University)
Social Capital - A Topsoil for Democracy

TANIA MASI (University of Verona)
Strengthening the Voice of Civil Society: The Impact of the United Nations Democracy Fund

ERICH GUNDLACH (University of Hamburg / GIGA), Gert Tinggaard Svendsen
How do High Levels of Social Trust Affect the Long-run Performance of Initially Poor Economies?  (updated)

 

D3 Conflict    

Tim Krieger, LAURA RENNER (University of Freiburg)
Reconsidering the Nexus between Polygyny, Misogyny and Conflict

Marco Cellini, Paolo Li Donni, MARIA MARINO (University of Palermo)
Protests and Democracy: A Novel Econometric Approach to Analyze Cross-countries Differences in the Determinants of the Democratic Process

THOMAS GRIES (University of Paderborn), Claus-Jochen Haake
An Economic Theory of "Destabilization War" - Compromise for Peace Versus Conventional, Guerilla, or Terrorist Warfare

 

Parallel Session E1 – E3

E1 Economic and Political Effects of Autocratic Legacy

MICHAEL DORSCH (Central European University), Paul Maarek
Democratization and the Conditional Dynamics of Income Distribution

CHRISTIAN BJØRNSKOV (Aarhus University)
Why do Military Dictatorships Become Presidential Democracies? Mapping the Democratic Interest of Autocratic Regimes

JEAN LACROIX (Université Libre de Bruxelles), Pierre-Guillaume Méon, Khalid Sekkat
Jam Tomorrow But Never Jam Today: Do Democratic Transitions Attract Foreign Investors and How Fast?

 

E2 Regime Types in Africa

Raul Caruso, Nicola Pontarollo, ROBERTO RICCIUTI (University of Verona)
The Global and Local Dynamics of Military Dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa

FABIAN PETUTSCHNIG (University of Innsbruck), Esther Blanco, Sebastian Prediger, Ivo Steinmanis, Björn Vollan
Incentivizing Democracy: Experimental Evidence from Rural Namibia

 

Parallel Session F1 – F3  

F1 Political Institutions

STEPHAN MICHEL (University of Hamburg)
Ulysses' Bonds - Are Constitutions-makers Constrained by Mandatory Referendums?

KATARZYNA METELSKA-SZANIAWSKA (University of Warsaw), Anna Lewczuk
Constitutional Overperformance

Brian Kogelmann, BENJAMIN OGDEN (Texas A&M University / Université libre de Bruxelles)
Epistemic Public Reason: a Formal Model of Strategic Communication and Deliberative Democracy

 

F2 Determinants of Institutional Quality

STEPHAN GOHMANN (University of Louisville)
Historical Influences on Current Economic Freedom

JERG GUTMANN (University of Hamburg), Matthias Neuenkirch, Florian Neumeier
Precision-Guided or Blunt? The Effects of US Economic Sanctions on Human Rights

SEBASTIAN GARMANN (Ruhr-Universität Bochum)
God Save the Queen, God Save Us All? Monarchies and Institutional Quality

 

F3 Political Outcomes in Democracies and Autocracies

DEJAN DRAGUTINOVIC (Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena), Andreas Freytag, Julian Schmied (Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research)
The Nexus of Growth, Inequality and Poverty: Are Autocratic Systems Different?

MONIKA NASKRECKA (Poznań University of Economics and Business) Michal Pilc
Political Regime, Employment Protection Legislation and Economic Cycle – A Twofold Relationship

RAUL MAGNI BERTON (Université Grenoble Alpes / Sciences Po Grenoble / Pacte), SOPHIE PANEL (Sciences Po Bordeaux)
Strategic Gerontocracy: Why Nondemocratic Systems Produce Older Leaders